Trends in short

• New COVID-19 cases continue to surge throughout the country. In the past week, the United States reported more than 100,000 new cases in a single day for the first time and has now recorded more than 10 million total cases.^[1]
• Over the past two weeks the number of daily coronavirus-related deaths has increased by 14%. More than 238,000 people have now died due to COVID-19 in America.^[2]
• As in the rest of the country, new cases are continuing to surge in Connecticut. The state is currently seeing an average of 988 new cases per day, compared to 460 cases per day two weeks ago.^[3]
• The number of daily COVID-19 cases are also rising in Rhode Island, which is seeing an average of 501 new cases per day this week compared to 347 per day two weeks ago.^[4]

International case numbers

• 50,766,938 COVID-19 cases worldwide; 1,261,306 deaths; 33,153,413 recovered.^[5]
• The United States continued to have the highest number of COVID-19 cases at 10,022,557 cases. India has the second highest number of cases with 8,553,657 cases, Brazil third with 5,664,115, and France fourth with 1,855,342.^[6]
• Almost all European countries have reported record numbers of new COVID-19 cases in the past week despite lockdowns that have been instituted throughout the continent. Only the Netherlands, Ireland, the Czech Republic, and Slovenia have seen a downward trend in new cases and have gone two weeks without setting a record.^[7]

Distribution of new coronavirus cases and deaths worldwide each week (from The World Health Organization COVID-19 Weekly Situation Update, as of 11/1/2020).^[8]

US National case numbers

• 10,022,557 cases of coronavirus confirmed by lab tests, 238,024 deaths, and 3,881,558 recovered cases. 156,673,693 total tests have been conducted.^[9]
• The highest-risk states in the country are currently North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Nebraska. In the past two weeks, new COVID-19 cases have increased by 61% in North Dakota. However, new COVID-19 cases are surging throughout the United States.^[10]

Risk in population

COVID-19 deaths reported to National Center for Health Statistics as of November 4, 2020[11]
Age group	Total number of deaths	Percentage of reported deaths
0-24	479	0.22%
25-44	6,010	2.77%
45-54	11,476	5.28%
55-64	27,569	12.68%
65-74	46,988	21.62%
75+	124,826	57.43%

Provisional Death Counts for COVID-19 by Demographic Characteristics as of November 4, 2020[12]
	Population Total
Female	45.91%
Male	54.09%
White	40.20%
Black	15.20%
American Indian or Alaskan Native	0.30%
Asian	9.80%
Hispanic	32.50%
Other	2.00%

Known cases in Connecticut (call 211 or text “CTCOVID” to 898211 for information)

• As of November 9, 2020 there are 81,463 confirmed and probable cases (+3,338 from November 6), 496 hospitalizations (+94 from November 6), and 4,698 deaths. 2,574,371 patients have been tested in the state with a 3.72% daily positivity rate.^[13]
• All eight counties have seen at least a 14% increase in case counts in the past two weeks.
• Confirmed and probable cases:
  • Fairfield County: 27,652 cases, 1,450 deaths
  • Hartford County: 20,409 cases, 1,518 deaths
  • Litchfield County: 2,704 cases, 148 deaths
  • Middlesex County: 2,335 cases, 198 deaths
  • New Haven County: 20,053 cases, 1,144 deaths
  • New London County: 4,326 cases, 150 deaths
  • Tolland County: 1,991 cases, 68 deaths
  • Windham County: 1,685 cases, 21 deaths
  • Pending address validation: 308 cases, 1 deaths

Cumulative Cases and Deaths in CT with Percent Increase from Previous Reporting Period

County	Nov 6	Oct 26	Oct 12	Sept 27	Sept 13
Fairfield Cases (% increase) Deaths (% increase)	27,652 (19.8) 1,450 (1.2)	22,322 (7.6) 1,430 (0.3)	20,752 (3.0) 1,426 (0.2)	20,141 (3.2) 1,422 (0.2)	19,518 (3.1) 1,419 (0.3)
Hartford Cases (% increase) Deaths (% increase)	20,409 (15.5) 1,518 (3.3)	17,062 (10.0) 1,464 (1.5)	15,520 (5.8) 1,442 (1.0)	14,670 (4.3) 1,434 (0.2)	14,060 (3.9) 1,431 (0.4)
Litchfield Cases (% increase) Deaths (% increase)	2,704 (22.4) 148 (3.5)	2,116 (10.3) 143 (1.4)	1,919 (2.5) 141 (0.0)	1,872 (4.4) 141 (0.7)	1,793 (4.7) 140 (1.4)
Middlesex Cases (% increase) Deaths (% increase)	2,335 (19.3) 198 (0.5)	1,873 (12.4) 196 (1.6)	1,667 (5.3) 193 (0.0)	1,583 (3.9) 193 (0.0)	1,524 (4.0) 193 (0.5)
New Haven Cases (% increase) Deaths (% increase)	20,053 (20.0) 1,144 (1.6)	16,073 (8.0) 1,123 (0.4)	14,877 (3.1) 1,118 (0.3)	14,434 (2.7) 1,115 (0.3)	14,059 (2.5) 1,111 (0.1)
New London Cases (% increase) Deaths (% increase)	4,326 (17.1) 150 (7.1)	3,456 (34.5) 136 (8.0)	2,570 (31.1) 126 (9.6)	1,959 (17.0) 115 (3.6)	1,677 (5.7) 111 (5.0)
Tolland Cases (% increase) Deaths (% increase)	1,991 (14.6) 68 (0.0)	1,689 (12.5) 68 (1.5)	1,502 (10.8) 67 (0.0)	1,356 (6.8) 67 (3.1)	1,270 (10.7) 65 (0.0)
Windham Cases (% increase) Deaths (% increase)	1,685 (19.7) 21 (16.7)	1,324 (19.5) 17 (0.0)	1,108 (12.5) 17 (6.3)	985 (13.5) 16 (6.7)	868 (7.6) 15 (0.0)

Connecticut Cumulative Statistics by Month for Age and Race/Ethnicity per 100,000 

		Age, total (deaths)	Race/ethnicity rate per 100,000 population (deaths)
(end of month)	Cases, (Deaths)	<20	20-49	50-69	>70	White	Black	Hispanic	Other
Mar.	3,128 (69)	94 (0)	1,419 (3)	1,150 (25)	461 (60)	NA	NA	NA	NA
Apr.	27,700 (2,257)	775 (2)	10,820 (52)	9,299 (391)	6,572 (1,808)	365 (67)	829 (89)	723 (34)	211 (11)
May	42,743 (3,970)	1,617 (2)	16,792 (75)	13,547 (655)	10,660 (3,237)	584 (116)	1,365 (146)	1,248 (56)	755 (42)
June	46,572 (4,324)	2,024 (2)	18,805 (81)	14,380 (708)	11,304 (3,533)	677 (132)	1,577 (166)	1,493 (63)	860 (47)
July	49,810 (4,432)	2,572 (2)	20,518 (82)	15,104 (725)	11,561 (3,623)	728 (135)	1,681 (169)	1,601 (65)	888 (47)
Aug.	53,006 (4,466)	3,236 (2)	22,284 (82)	15,731 (730)	11,728 (3,652)	773 (136)	1,814 (170)	1,738 (67)	977 (48)
Sept.	71,182 (4,616)	6,632 (2)	31,860 (86)	19,655 (761)	13,035 (3,767)	994 (140)	2,151 (172)	2,341 (70)	1,364 (49)

• The Yale New Haven Health System currently has 195 hospitalized patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis. The number of hospitalized patients in the system appears to be doubling every 16 days. YYNH currently has 101 patients, 19 of whom are in the ICU and 9 of whom are on ventilators. GH currently has 11 patients, Westerly has 6, BH has 57, and L and M have 20.  
• During the peak of the pandemic, approximately one-third of all hospitalized patients were in the ICU. Currently, only one-fifth of patients are in the ICU, reflecting either that patients are less sick or there is now better treatment available that keeps individuals outs of the ICU. 
• Yale has now moved from “yellow” status to “orange” COVID level after 20 undergraduate on-campus students test positive. Students affiliated with three residential colleges have been asked to quarantine.^[14]

Connecticut developments

• Due to a rising surge of COVID-19 cases, Governor Lamont announced a roll back to a modified phase two of that state’s reopening. Starting last Friday, restaurant indoor capacity was reduced from 75% to 50% and all indoor dining must be closed by 9:30pm.^[15]
• At least half a dozen school districts have closed at least one school building because of staffing shortages as schools continue to see rising cases of COVID-19.^[16]

Known cases in Rhode Island (call 401-222-8022 for information)

• As of November 9, 2020^[17]
  • 38,009 confirmed cumulative cases (+7,891 from 10/23/20; a 26.3% increase in the two-week period)
  • 1,257,639 total tests conducted (+223,067 from 10/23/20)
  • 212 patients currently hospitalized (+72 from 10/23/20)
  • 27 patients currently in ICU (+14 from 10/23/20)
  • 1,233 deaths in the state (+56 from 10/23/20)

Rhode Island developments

• The greatest number of positive COVID-19 tests for a single day in Rhode Island were reported on Friday, November 6. Of the 16,400 tests conducted that day, 630 reported positive, which is a 3.8% positivity rate. The previous single-day high for new cases in the state was set only one day before, on November 5.^[18]
• New stay-at-home restrictions aimed at slowing the spread of COVID-19 were implemented on Sunday, November 8. Rhode Islanders are asked to remain at home from 10:00 pm until 5:00 am Sunday through Thursday, and from 10:30 pm until 5:00 am on Fridays and Saturdays. Essential activities such as going to work or to the doctor’s office are exempt from the restrictions. The restrictions will remain in effect for two weeks and come in addition to other restrictions already in place under the state’s Phase 3 reopening plan.^[19]