Case Surveillance Update | 2020.10.26

Trends in short

  • Over the past four weeks, new daily COVID-19 cases have nearly doubled. More than 20 states are seeing record levels of cases, including in Illinois, Tennessee, New Mexico, Nebraska, and Utah.[1]
  • Although daily coronavirus-related deaths throughout the country are below peak spring levels, an average of 775 deaths occurred in late October which is well above deaths in early July when the second surge of COVID-19 cases began to occur.[2]
  • New cases are continuing to surge in Connecticut, which is seeing an average of 460 new cases per day, compared to 249 cases per day two weeks ago.[3]
  • COVID-19 cases are also rising in Rhode Island, which is seeing an average of 347 new cases per day this week compared to 174 per day two weeks ago.[4]

International case numbers

  • 43,170,127 COVID-19 cases worldwide; 1,155,434 deaths; 29,013,415 recovered.[5]
  • The United States continued to have the highest number of COVID-19 cases at 8,638,127 cases. India has the second highest number of cases with 7,909,959 cases, Brazil third with 5,394,128, and Russia fourth with 1,520,800.[6]
  • A second surge of COVID-19 cases is occurring in Europe and multiple countries are implementing regulations and social distancing measures to attempt to stop the spread. European countries reported a collective 1.3 million new cases over the past week, the continent’s highest single week count since the beginning of the pandemic.[7]

Distribution of new coronavirus cases and deaths worldwide each week (from The World Health Organization COVID-19 Weekly Situation Update, as of 10/18/2020).[8]

US National case numbers

  • 8,638,127 cases of coronavirus confirmed by lab tests, 225,239 deaths, and 3,422,878 recovered cases. 132,568,375 total tests have been conducted.[9]
  • The highest-risk states in the country are currently North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, Montana, and Guam. In the past two weeks, new COVID-19 cases have increased by 54% in North Dakota.[10]

Risk in population

COVID-19 deaths reported to National Center for Health Statistics as of October 21, 2020[11]
Age group Total number of deathsPercentage of reported deaths
0-244620.22%
25-445,8342.81%
45-5411,0935.34%
55-6426,52512.76%
65-7445,01521.65%
75+118,95357.22%
Provisional Death Counts for COVID-19 by Demographic Characteristics as of October 21, 2020[12]
Population Total
Female45.89%
Male54.11%
White40.10%
Black15.20%
American Indian or Alaskan Native0.30%
Asian9.90%
Hispanic32.50%
Other2.00%

Known cases in Connecticut (call 211 or text “CTCOVID” to 898211 for information)

  • As of October 23, 2020 there are 66,052 confirmed and probable cases (+679 from October 21), 233 hospitalizations (+1 from October 22), and 4,577 deaths. 2,113,068 patients have been tested in the state.[13]
  • There has been an increase in cases in Connecticut due to an outbreak in Danbury. Danbury’s mayor has attributed the increase in cases to travel, youth sports, and large worship services. Danbury schools have shifted to virtual learning for the school year as a result.[14]
  • Confirmed and probable cases:
    • Fairfield County: 22,322 cases, 1,430 deaths
    • Hartford County: 17,062 cases, 1,464 deaths
    • Litchfield County: 2,116 cases, 143 deaths
    • Middlesex County: 1,873 cases, 196 deaths
    • New Haven County: 16,073 cases, 1,123 deaths
    • New London County: 3,456 cases, 136 deaths
    • Tolland County: 1,689 cases, 68 deaths
    • Windham County: 1,324 cases, 17 deaths
    • Pending address validation: 137 cases, 0 deaths

Cumulative Cases and Deaths in CT with Percent Increase from Previous Reporting Period

CountyOctober 26Oct 12Sept 27Sept 13August 31
Fairfield Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
22,322 (7.6)
1,430 (0.3)
20,752 (3.0)
1,426 (0.2)
20,141 (3.2)
1,422 (0.2)
19,518 (3.1)
1,419 (0.3)
18,939 (1.0)
1,415 (0.4)
Hartford Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
17,062 (10.0)
1,464 (1.5)
15,520 (5.8)
1,442 (1.0)
14,670 (4.3)
1,434 (0.2)
14,060 (3.9)
1,431 (0.4)
13,529 (4.4)
1,425 (0.4)
Litchfield Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
2,116 (10.3)
143
(1.4)
1,919 (2.5)
141 (0.0)
1,872 (4.4)
141 (0.7)
1,793 (4.7)
140 (1.4)
1,713 (4.6)
138 (0.0)
Middlesex Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
1,873 (12.4)
196
(1.6)
1,667 (5.3)
193 (0.0)
1,583 (3.9)
193 (0.0)
1,524 (4.0)
193 (0.5)
1,466 (2.9)
192 (0.0)
New Haven Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
16,073 (8.0)
1,123 (0.4)
14,877 (3.1)
1,118 (0.3)
14,434 (2.7)
1,115 (0.3)
14,059 (2.5)
1,111 (0.1)
13,711 (2.4)
1,109 (0.0)
New London Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
3,456 (34.5)
136
(8.0)
2,570 (31.1)
126 (9.6)
1,959 (17.0)
115 (3.6)
1,677 (5.7)
111 (5.0)
1,587 (5.8)
106 (0.0)
Tolland Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
1,689 (12.5)
68
(1.5)
1,502 (10.8)
67 (0.0)
1,356 (6.8)
67 (3.1)
1,270 (10.7)
65 (0.0)
1,147 (6.1)
65
(0.0)
Windham Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
1,324 (19.5)
17
(0.0)
1,108 (12.5)
17
(6.3)
985 (13.5)
16
(6.7)
868
(7.6)
15
(0.0)
807
(5.2)
15
(0.0)

Connecticut Cumulative Statistics by Month for Age and Race/Ethnicity per 100,000 

Age, total (deaths)Race/ethnicity rate per 100,000 population (deaths)
(end of month) Cases, (Deaths)<2020-4950-69>70WhiteBlackHispanic Other
Mar.3,128 (69)94 (0)1,419 (3)1,150 (25)461 (60)NANANANA
Apr.27,700 (2,257)775 (2)10,820 (52)9,299 (391)6,572 (1,808)365 (67)829 (89)723 (34)211 (11)
May42,743 (3,970)1,617 (2)16,792 (75)13,547 (655)10,660 (3,237)584 (116)1,365 (146)1,248 (56)755 (42)
June46,572 (4,324)2,024 (2)18,805 (81) 14,380 (708)11,304 (3,533)677 (132)1,577 (166)1,493 (63)860 (47)
July49,810 (4,432)2,572 (2)20,518 (82)15,104 (725)11,561 (3,623)728 (135)1,681 (169)1,601 (65)888 (47)
Aug.53,006 (4,466)3,236 (2)22,284 (82)15,731 (730)11,728 (3,652)773 (136)1,814 (170)1,738 (67)977 (48)
Sept.60,038 (4,530)4,755 (2)25,983 (85)17,089 (747)12,184 (3,696)832 (137)1,918 (172)1,921 (68)1,081 (49)
  • The Yale New Haven Health System currently has 91 hospitalized patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis. The number of hospitalized patients in the system appears to be doubling every 16 days. YYNH currently has 50 patients, 14 of whom are in the ICU and 4 of whom are on ventilators. GH currently has 3 patients, Westerly has 3, BH has 20, and L and M have 15.  
  • There has been a COVID-19 outbreak among the Yale men’s hockey team which is now considered a super-spreader event. 18 of the 23 men on the team have contracted the virus, causing the University to move from “green” status to “yellow” status due to the outbreak. There also appears to be cases among Yale dependents and dining hall employees indicating that virus is circulating at the university and in the wider community. 

Connecticut developments

  • Following several incidents where bars ignored COVID protocols, Governor Lamont is considering stricter enforcement rules and guidelines.[15] Connecticut public schools continue to see students and staff members test positive for COVID-19 which has prompted many to transition to distance learning.[16]
  • The number of COVID-19 hospitalizations is the highest it’s been in months with 233 patients and the state is reporting a 2.9% positivity rate on October 23rd. Communities like Fairfield and Norwalk have been added to the COVID “red alert” list which serious spikes in cases.[17]

Known cases in Rhode Island (call 401-222-8022 for information)

  • As of October 23, 2020[18]
    • 30,118 confirmed cumulative cases (+3,824 from 10/11/20)
    • 1,034,572 total tests conducted (+169,934 from 10/11/20)
    • 140 patients currently hospitalized (+28 from 10/11/20)
    • 13 patients currently in ICU (+3 from 10/11/20)
    • 1,177   1,130 deaths in the state (+47 from 10/11/20)

Rhode Island developments

  • The greatest number of positive COVID-19 tests in Rhode Island were reported on Thursday, October 27. The previous highest number of positive tests in a single day was 412 on April 23. This new spike in positive tests comes amid a surge in COVID-19 cases in the state, but in part is also due to an increase in testing overall. On Thursday, 14,073 tests were conducted, 3.2% of which were positive for COVID-19.[19]
  • Rhode Island officials fined and temporarily closed 4 bars in the state– 3 in Providence and 1 in Pawtucket– due to coronavirus control violations. Various violations were reported, including allowing customers to mingle and be served at the bar rather than remaining at the table they are seated at, employees not wearing face coverings, and staying open past 11. The establishments must undergo a thorough cleaning before reopening.[20]
  • Rhode Island has been working with Massachusetts to create a COVID-19 vaccination distribution plan once there is a safe vaccine available. According to the Rhode Island Department of Health, the vaccine would be rolled out in phases. The first group the vaccine would be made available to is high-risk health care workers and first responders. The second group would include high-risk individuals (i.e. people with serious health conditions), K-12 teachers, and critical workers in high-risk settings. The final distribution phase would prioritize young adults, children, and workers in industries that are critical to society before making the vaccine more widely available to the public.[21]

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