Case Surveillance Update | 2020.09.29

Trends in short

  • The number of new COVID-19 cases in Connecticut has fallen in the last two weeks. This week the state is seeing an average of 160 new cases per day, compared to 219 new cases per day two weeks ago.[1] However, the percentage of positive test results has increased to slightly more than 1%.[2]
  • New cases are also decreasing in Rhode Island, which is seeing an average of 104 new cases per day this week compared to 127 per day two weeks ago.[3]
  • In the past 14 days, the rate of new cases in the United States has increased by 15%. However, the daily average of deaths due to COVID-19 continues to decline and is down 3% over the past 14 days.[4]

International case numbers

  • 33,417,386 COVID-19 cases worldwide; 1,002,864 deaths; 23,193,238 recovered.[5]
  • The United States has the highest number of COVID-19 cases at 7,150,824 cases. India has the second highest number of cases with 6,145,291 cases, Brazil third with 4,745,464, and Russia fourth with 1,162,428.[6] It is expected that India will surpass the US in total cases within the next few weeks. 

Distribution of new coronavirus cases and deaths worldwide each week (from The World Health Organization COVID-19 Situation Update, as of 9/28/2020).[7]

US National case numbers

  • 7,150,824 cases of coronavirus confirmed by lab tests, 205,107 deaths, and 2,794,608 recovered cases. 102,342,416 total tests have been conducted.[8]
  • The highest-risk states in the country are currently North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, Utah, and Iowa. In the past two weeks, new COVID-19 cases have increased by 107% in Utah.[9]

Risk in population

COVID-19 deaths reported to National Center for Health Statistics as of September 23, 2020[10]
Age group Total number of deathsPercentage of reported deaths
0-244930.25%
25-445,2662.70%
45-5410,0575.17%
55-6430,13115.48%
65-7440,6132086%
75+108,12455.54%
Provisional Death Counts for COVID-19 by Demographic Characteristics as of September 23, 2020[11]
Population Total
Female45.97%
Male54.03%
White40.20%
Black15.40%
American Indian or Alaskan Native0.30%
Asian9.90%
Hispanic32.20%
Other2.00%

Known cases in Connecticut (call 211 or text “CTCOVID” to 898211 for information)

  • As of September 27, 2020 there are 57,147 confirmed and probable cases (+560 from September 25), 75 hospitalizations (-1 from September 25), and 4,503 deaths. 1,568,802 patients have been tested in the state. [12]
  • There has been an increase in cases in Connecticut due to an outbreak in Danbury. Danbury’s mayor has attributed the increase in cases to travel, youth sports, and large worship services. Danbury schools have shifted to virtual learning for the school year as a result.[13]
  • Confirmed and probable cases:
    • Fairfield County: 20,141 cases, 1,422 deaths
    • Hartford County: 14,670 cases, 1,434 deaths
    • Litchfield County: 1,872 cases, 141 deaths
    • Middlesex County: 1,583 cases, 193 deaths
    • New Haven County: 14,434 cases, 1,115 deaths
    • New London County: 1,959 cases, 115 deaths
    • Tolland County: 1,356 cases, 67 deaths
    • Windham County: 985 cases, 16 deaths
    • Pending address validation: 147 cases, 0 deaths

Cumulative Cases and Deaths in CT with Percent Increase from Previous Reporting Period

CountySept 27Sept 13August 31August 18August 10
Fairfield Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
20,141 (3.2)
1,422 (0.2)
19,518 (3.1)
1,419 (0.3)
18,939 (1.0)
1,415 (0.4)
18,347 (1.7)
1,410 (0.1)
18,035 (5.7)
1,409 (1.0)
Hartford Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
14,670 (4.3)
1,434 (0.2)
14,060 (3.9)
1,431 (0.4)
13,529 (4.4)
1,425 (0.4)
12,956 (1.2)
1,419 (0.3)
12,800 (6.3)
1,415 (8.6)
Litchfield Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
1,872 (4.4)
141
(0.7)
1,793 (4.7)
140
(1.4)
1,713 (4.6)
138
(0.0)
1,638 (1.4)
139
(1.0)
1,615 (6.0)
138
(0.0)
Middlesex Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
1,583 (3.9)
193
(0.0)
1,524 (4.0)
193
(0.5)
1,466 (2.9)
192
(0.0)
1,425 (1.4)
192
(0.0)
1,405 (3.5)
192
(1.6)
New Haven Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
14,434 (2.7)
1,115 (0.3)
14,059 (2.5)
1,111 (0.1)
13,711 (2.4)
1,109 (0.0)
13,388 (1.2)
1,111 (0.5)
13,224 (3.9)
1,106 (1.5)
New London Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
1,959 (17.0)
115
(3.6)
1,677 (5.7)
111
(5.0)
1,587 (5.8)
106
(0.0)
1,499 (2.9)
106
(3.0)
1,457 (8.2)
103
(1.0)
Tolland Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
1,356 (6.8)
67
(3.1)
1,270 (10.7)
65
(0.0)
1,147 (6.1)
65
(0.0)
1,081 (2.3)
65
(0.0)
1,056 (12.5)
66
(1.5)
Windham Cases
(% increase)
Deaths
(% increase)
985 (13.5)
16
(6.7)
868
(7.6)
15
(0.0)
807
(5.2)
15
(0.0)
767
(3.1)
15
(0.0)
738 (13.4)
15
(7.1)

Connecticut Cumulative Statistics by Month for Age and Race/Ethnicity per 100,000 

Age, total (deaths)Race/ethnicity rate per 100,000 population (deaths)
(end of month) Cases, (Deaths)<2020-4950-69>70WhiteBlackHispanic Other
Mar.3,128 (69)94 (0)1,419 (3)1,150 (25)461 (60)NANANANA
Apr.27,700 (2,257)775 (2)10,820 (52)9,299 (391)6,572 (1,808)365 (67)829 (89)723 (34)211 (11)
May42,743 (3,970)1,617 (2)16,792 (75)13,547 (655)10,660 (3,237)584 (116)1,365 (146)1,248 (56)755 (42)
June46,572 (4,324)2,024 (2)18,805 (81) 14,380 (708)11,304 (3,533)677 (132)1,577 (166)1,493 (63)860 (47)
July49,810 (4,432)2,572 (2)20,518 (82)15,104 (725)11,561 (3,623)728 (135)1,681 (169)1,601 (65)888 (47)
August53,006 (4,466)3,236 (2)22,284 (82)15,731 (730)11,728 (3,652)773 (136)1,814 (170)1,738 (67)977 (48)
  • As of September 29, 2020, Yale New Haven Health System has 27 hospitalized patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis (+13 from September 8). At YYNH, 1 patient is in the ICU but is not on a ventilator. The number of hospitalized patients has doubled over the past two weeks. 

Connecticut developments

  • Governor Lamont has announced that Phase 3 reopening of Connecticut will begin on October 8. This phase of the reopening will allow for 75% capacity indoors at businesses such as restaurants, salons, and libraries as long as COVID-19 safety precautions are observed. Outdoor venues and indoor performing arts venues will be allowed to increase to 50% capacity with social distancing and mandatory mask requirements. Bars and nightclubs will continue to remain closed.[14]
  • There appears to be a resurgence of COVID-19 in Connecticut as the number of new cases slightly increased. The percentage of positive COVID tests still remains barely above 1%. There is speculation that the increase in positive tests may be associated with the start of colleges as most cases are among college-age residents.[15] Many K-12 schools have reported cases among students and staff and some have closed in-person learning in response.[16]

Known cases in Rhode Island (call 401-222-8022 for information)

  • As of September 28, 2020[17]
    • 24,424 confirmed cumulative cases (+1,294 from 9/13/20)
    • 753,156 total tests conducted (+117,438 from 9/13/20)
    • 94 patients currently hospitalized (+14 from 9/13/20)
    • 8 patients currently in ICU (+1 from 9/13/20)
    • 1,110 deaths in the state (+25 from 9/13/20)

Rhode Island developments

  • Rhode Island’s current COVID-19 restrictions that were initially set to expire on September 21 have been extended for another 30 days. The Phase 3 reopening restrictions set a 15-person maximum for social gatherings, a 50-person limit for indoor events, and a 100-person limit for outdoor events.[18]
  • Nursing homes in Rhode Island, which were hit hard in the spring by the initial coronavirus outbreak, are seeing an uptick in cases. At least 70 new COVID-19 cases have been reported in nursing homes over the past two weeks, more than double the number of new cases reported at the beginning of August.[19]
  • New COVID-19 cases among those 19-24 years of age far outpace all other age groups in Rhode Island, coinciding with a rise in cases on college campuses. Many new cases at colleges have been found to be caused by small in-person gatherings, rather than large parties, in which students do not wear masks, do not practice social distancing, and are sharing food and drinks.[20]

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *